Добрый день! Сера становится дорогим удовольствием. Производителям фосфорных удобрений по всему миру всё сложнее поддерживать прежние объёмы выпуска. 4 ноября канадская Nutrien сообщила, что во втором квартале 2027 года остановит фосфатное производство на заводе White Springs во Флориде. Из-за подорожания серы финансовый результат фосфатного подразделения компании за третий квартал рухнул на 93%. Американская Mosaic временно остановила работу предприятия South Fort Meade во Флориде из-за ограничений с поставками серы. С 8 декабря запланировано сокращение 199 рабочих мест. Простой продлится более полугода. Интересно, легко ли запустить завод после такого перерыва? В Бразилии Mosaic решила законсервировать комплексы Araxá и Patrocínio. Это сократит годовой выпуск фосфорной продукции компании примерно на миллион тонн. В своей отчётности Mosaic прямо указывает на рост цен и ограничения поставок серы как на серьёзный фактор давления на фосфатное производство. А теперь что у нас. За девять месяцев 2026 года расходы одного из крупнейших производителей на серу и серную кислоту выросли в 2,5 раза, до 73,8 млрд рублей. По данным Росстата, за январь-август производство газовой серы в России составило около 2,4 млн тонн, примерно на 24 % меньше, чем годом ранее. В августе снижение достигло 36%. Правительство ограничило экспорт серной кислоты до конца 2026 года, чтобы обеспечить внутренние предприятия и производителей удобрений. Так же действует ограничение на вывоз самой серы. А нам-то что с того? Да всё просто. Сера нужна для производства серной кислоты, и она используется при переработке фосфатного сырья. Если сырьё дорожает и его сложнее достать, производство фосфорных удобрений обходится дороже. Пример недалеко от нас. «Алмаз удобрения» в Ставропольском крае временно снизил производство фосфорных удобрений из-за рыночной конъюнктуры. «Крымский Титан» приостановил работу после аварии. Причины разные, но результат один- производственных мощностей больше не становится. Вряд ли это создаст дефицит, но выбор может уменьшиться. Пока предельные цены производителей на внутреннем рынке зафиксированы до 30 ноября. Но вероятность того, что производители начнут активно давать скидки на фосфорные и серосодержащие удобрения, скажем так, пока не просматривается. Я это всё к чему. Нам, вроде бы, совершенно пофиг, кто и где в мире закрыл завод. Своих задач хватает. А на самом деле эти новости могут ответить на вопрос: будут ли скидки на аммофос и серосодержащие удобрения? И пока их даже в бинокль не видно.
Public channel
ID 73859990730849
Числов ПРО удобрения. Только для своих.
Канал Ивана Числова только для своих— здесь по‑простому и по делу:
что творится на рынке удобрений в регионе — цены, наличие, варианты замены; важные новости для аграриев без воды. Помощь по ФГИС «Сатурн», чтобы не ловить штрафы. Агрономические советы независимых специалистов под наши условия. И многое другое!
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Channel analytics
Dashboard
5 November — 11 November 2026
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SubscribersHow many subscribers the channel has now. The wave shows subscribers at each point of the period. The change is against the start of the period.
139
0.0 %
+0 since 11 November
ViewsHow many views the posts published in the period have now. These are not views per day: MAX does not report how many views there were yesterday. The percentage is the change in the daily average: the current period is still running (today is not over yet), so it is compared with the previous one by pace rather than by total. “Was” is the whole previous period of the same length.
473
15.4 %
was 577
ReactionsHow many reactions the posts published in the period have. The percentage is the change in the daily average: the current period is still running (today is not over yet), so it is compared with the previous one by pace rather than by total. “Was” is the whole previous period of the same length.
after signing in
MentionsHow many times other channels mentioned the channel: links and reposts, excluding advertising posts. The bigger the circle, the more mentions at that point of the period. The percentage is the change in the daily average: the current period is still running (today is not over yet), so it is compared with the previous one by pace rather than by total. “Was” is the whole previous period of the same length.
with a subscription
RepostsHow many times other channels reposted this channel's posts (excluding advertising posts). Reposts are also counted as mentions. The percentage is the change in the daily average: the current period is still running (today is not over yet), so it is compared with the previous one by pace rather than by total. “Was” is the whole previous period of the same length.
with a subscription
Average post reachHow many views one post gets on average. Only posts older than two days are counted: views of fresh posts are still growing. Points with fresh posts are dashed with hollow dots: the reach of all posts right now, it will still grow.
with a subscription
ERRWhat share of subscribers sees an average post: average reach ÷ subscribers × 100 %. The line shows ERR at each point of the period, the dashed line — ERR of the previous period of the same length. Points with posts younger than two days are hollow dots on the dashed end of the line.
with a subscription
Engagement ERHow often readers react to posts: reactions ÷ views × 100 %. The tick on the bar is the previous period.
with a subscription
Posts per dayHow many posts are published per day on average. Each cell is a point of the period: the darker, the more posts per day. The percentage is the change in the daily average: the current period is still running (today is not over yet), so it is compared with the previous one by pace rather than by total. “Was” is the whole previous period of the same length.
with a subscription
Ad shareWhat share of the period's posts looks like advertising: erid labeling, ad links and other signs. The scale shows the ad load by the quality index thresholds: up to 10 % — low, up to 25 % — moderate, up to 50 % — high, above — very high. A growing share is marked red.
with a subscription
TrendTop — subscribers at the end of each point of the period; bottom — growth per point: green means more subscribers, red means fewer. Above the growth chart — the biggest gain and the biggest loss. MAX does not report how many people subscribed and unsubscribed separately.
Audience growth
Channel scoreA channel score from 0 to 100 made of five parts: audience, growth integrity, ad load, trust and calculation reliability. Each bar shows how many points the part earned out of its maximum. The index is recalculated every night; channels are compared with similar ones of the same category and size.
How it is calculated
Quality index
ReachHow many views the posts published at each point of the period have now (not views per day). The record is labeled; the point with today is paler — the day is not over yet. Average post reach — posts older than two days.
Views and reach
EngagementER — reactions divided by views, in percent — for the posts of each point of the period. The dashed line is ER for the whole period. The change is in percentage points against the previous period of the same length.
Subscriber engagement
CitationsThe citation index (CI) shows how often and by which channels this channel is mentioned over the last 90 days, excluding advertising posts. The level is its place among similar channels. The line shows CI at each point of the period (for a week or month — the average over its days). Since 11 November 2026 the index covers 90 days (30 before), hence the step on the chart that day.
How it is calculated
Citation index
RhythmHow many posts are published on average in each hour of each weekday, Moscow time: the darker the cell, the more posts. “Best time” — the hours when posts older than two days have the highest average reach.
When and how much it posts
FormatsWhat the feed is made of. Each post has one format, by priority: repost, video, photo, link, text. The bar and percentages show the share of posts of each format; on the right — average reach of one post of the format (posts older than two days), the small bar compares it with the most viewed format.
Post formats
PostsEach dot is a post in the period: horizontally — publication date, vertically — views, dot size — reactions, color — format. This shows hits, flops and how reach changes. For large channels, the 100 most viewed posts and an even sample of the rest are shown — no more than 1,500 dots.
Every post is a dot
Higher means more views, bigger means more reactions. Click a dot to open the post.
VideoPhotosOther
size — reactions
Zoom with the + and − buttons, a pinch or Ctrl + mouse wheel; drag a zoomed chart to move it
SummaryTotals for the selected period: how many posts were published, how many views and reactions they have now and the average post reach. Views are the current views of posts published on those days, not views per day. The change is against the same span before the period, if statistics cover it.
Period totals
Click a metric to see it across the period below
AdsWhat share of the period's posts looks like advertising: erid labeling, ad links and other signs. The detector is cautious, so the real share is usually higher. The scale shows the ad load by the quality index thresholds. Below — the average reach of an ad post and a regular post, and who the channel advertises (sites that ad links lead to).
More
Ads in the channel
What worksPosts of the period with the most views. The bar shows views relative to first place. The preview is the post's image; for a post without an image — the channel avatar. Views are the post's current count.
All posts
Top posts
By views for the period
RhythmHow many posts were published each day of the period (pale bars) and the 7-day average (line): you can see whether the channel is speeding up or slowing down. Today is not over yet, so its average is calculated up to yesterday.
Posts by day
Pale bars are days, the line is the 7-day average: you can see whether the channel is speeding up or slowing down
Data updated at 18:50 Moscow time. Views are the current counts of posts published on those days; average reach counts posts older than two days. How the quality index is calculated
Posts for the period
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